Born again Skeptic

Born again Skeptic

choice. understanding. perspective.

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Archive for Fallacy and Bias

You make and break your own religion

Note: I addressed the following essay to the general population of the No Agenda Forums, a community that I cherish despite frequent frustration.  It is peopled by many conspiracy theorists and champions of various “alternative” things, such as alternative explanations, alternative medicine, etc.  In short, people I cannot really reach on a level of reason.  [...]

More debate fail

I love everything about this Skeptoid post, in which Brian makes great points about the peril of debating when the truth is on your side.  It’s counter-intuitive on first consideration, but as I’ve mused previously, debating has relatively little to do with truth and mostly pivots on charisma and debate tactics (many of which pragmatically [...]

That’s the story of my life

I don’t have a lot to add to this excellent post about the narrative fallacy at lesswrong.  Here are some great excerpts, to convince you to go read the whole thing:
Essentially, the narrative fallacy is our tendency to turn everything we see into a story – a linear chain of cause and effect, with a [...]

Argument > Debate

Debating
Like most sports, I’m not much good at debate.  I say it’s a sport because it’s a competition with a winner and loser where the participants’ skills have the largest bearing on the outcome.
I think that most people casually lump debate and argument into the same mental bin; if not as exact synonyms, then as [...]

The emotions of energy

Hybrid fusion-fission energy generation a possibility via Futurismic.
Isn’t it interesting how this story swept through the internet?  Everyone, of course, wants to get rid of nuclear waste right?  Awful, evil stuff.  Bury it in the earth if you have to.  Making it disappear in a magic theoretical reactor is even better, what great news!  But [...]

A critical baseline

There are so many fallacies and biases that I can’t keep them straight, even though critical thinking is something I value highly.  I’m not much good at debate, and although I’d love nothing more than to engender critical thinking and skepticism in others, I don’t have any good ideas on how to do that, except [...]

Dangerous faith-based mechanics

There are many confirmation biases and magical thinking tendencies that fuel testimonial and anecdotal evidence for the efficacy of woo, from acupuncture and chiropractic all the way up to the giant woo umbrella of “complementary and alternative” medicine (CAM) or “integrative” medicine.
But that’s not why these things are a threat to actual real scientific medicine [...]

Risk assessment bias

Another quick redirect; I love this writeup of how we are stupid at risk assessment . I wish a few of the people close to me would learn up on this a bit.
The precautionary principle can so easily be abused to the point that it becomes a zero risk bias .

Why we believe strange things

This is a TED video from 2006, but I just now watched it. Michael Shermer talks about cognitive bias, pareidolia, and other interesting ways we fool ourselves.
Michael Shermer at TED.com: Why people believe strange things
It’s a delightful 12 minute refutation of stupidity.

A strong influence on the weak mind

The willful manipulation of an audience in propaganda and debate is a depressing fact of life to me.

I am interested in full understanding of an issue; best gained by rational discourse, scientific inquiry, and criticism.
I am also a fairly rabid supporter of freedom of expression.
I am most strongly an advocate of critical thinking skills as [...]