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	<title>Born again Skeptic &#187; Musing</title>
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	<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net</link>
	<description>choice. understanding. perspective.</description>
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		<title>Our stories whisper</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2011/09/17/our-stories-whisper/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2011/09/17/our-stories-whisper/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Sep 2011 05:15:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diversion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=164</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Listening to the always excellent Skeptics&#8217; Guide to the Universe this week, I was delighted to hear an interview with the lovely, talented, Sara Mayhew (whose blog name I (not so?) cleverly reference here in meme form). </p> <p>The blog has been in my skeptic list for some time, but I previously knew precious little <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2011/09/17/our-stories-whisper/">Our stories whisper</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/10078153-300x225.jpg" alt="Skeptical Fry: 4 lights or 5" title="Skeptical Fry: 4 lights or 5" width="300" height="225" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-166" />Listening to the always excellent <a href="http://www.theskepticsguide.org/">Skeptics&#8217; Guide to the Universe</a> this week, I was delighted to hear an <a href="https://plus.google.com/100882724450254120951/posts/eEXdR93y45N" title="Google Plus post on SGU #111 from Sara Mayhew">interview</a> with the <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/saramayhew">lovely</a>, <a href="http://ztarr.deviantart.com/art/By-All-Means-182008181">talented</a>, <a href="http://saramayhew.com/">Sara Mayhew</a> (whose <a href="http://www.saramayhew.com/blog/">blog</a> name I (not so?) cleverly reference here in meme form).  </p>
<p>The blog has been in my skeptic list for some time, but I previously knew precious little of the author: manga artist and even a TED fellow!?  After hearing her story of ascension to critical thinking I now have a massive, hopeless skepti-crush on her.</p>
<p>&#8220;But,&#8221; as Peter Griffin would say, &#8220;I digest&#8230;&#8221;  The kernel of insight that motivated me to come here and post was the discussion Sara and the hosts had about the rationalist/skeptic underpinnings of her manga work.  I never stopped to reflect on how most stories told in our civilization are deeply integrated with magical thinking (Star Wars) vs. rationalism (Star Trek.. at least they tried!).  The din of background-woo is so constant that I barely noticed it.  As if magic and heroes chosen of divine right were the very substrate of good storytelling.</p>
<p>I am still of the opinion that our irrationalities are founded in the <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/01/01/closed-minded-all/">cheap wiring of our brains</a>.  But I wonder how much our stories help keep us wrapped up in that warm, comfortable fog of belief.  Can we tell great, entertaining tales where the heroes&#8217; power isn&#8217;t supernatural or superhuman; but comes from reason, skepticism, collaboration?  </p>
<p>Well I can&#8217;t even describe it very well, so obviously *I&#8217;m* not going to be authoring an enthralling skeptic-epic.  But I hope that Sara&#8217;s onto something here.  Follow her, and be enchanted by beautiful reason.</p>
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		<title>You make and break your own religion</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/10/01/you-make-and-break-your-own-religion/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/10/01/you-make-and-break-your-own-religion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2009 00:13:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fallacy and Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Introspecting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ranting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=145</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerslea/321513270</p> <p>Note: I addressed the following essay to the general population of the No Agenda Forums, a community that I cherish despite frequent frustration.  It is peopled by many conspiracy theorists and champions of various &#8220;alternative&#8221; things, such as alternative explanations, alternative medicine, etc.  In short, people I cannot really reach on <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/10/01/you-make-and-break-your-own-religion/">You make and break your own religion</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_149" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 189px"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerslea/321513270"><img class="size-full wp-image-149" title="Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerslea/321513270" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/321513270_5c35e5b894_m.jpg" alt="Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerslea/321513270" width="179" height="240" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerslea/321513270</p></div>
<p>Note: I addressed the following essay to the general population of the <a href="http://noagendaforums.com">No Agenda Forums</a>, a community that I cherish despite frequent frustration.  It is peopled by many conspiracy theorists and champions of various &#8220;alternative&#8221; things, such as alternative explanations, alternative medicine, etc.  In short, people I cannot really reach on a level of reason.  What I say may not do any good, but if even one in a thousand of those readers can see the light, then I am proud to have played a small part in the emergence of a rational mind.</p>
<p><span id="more-145"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>It&#8217;s funny to me that no one here agrees on what &#8220;the truth&#8221; is, even in broad strokes.  But, (most) everyone agrees that authorities or experts <strong>must</strong> be lying to them about that truth&#8230;er, whatever it might be.  And if an authority occasionally says something you accept as truthful, then it must be to distract from something more secret and sinister.  The circular reasoning and contradiction are so palpable I can scarcely believe you don&#8217;t trip over them.</p>
<p>Ponder for a minute what this says about your thought process and your own bias.  You begin with an infallible conclusion, only trusting whatever evidence you see that supports it.  Evidence to the contrary is dismissed as untrustworthy by the very fact that it contradicts what you believe.  You decide wholly based on your own internal compass, even embracing the idea of cognitive bias as a sort of meta-physical truth detector.</p>
<p>This is, essentially, a definition of religious devotion to an unassailable faith.  You act as though you have arrived at your belief system through a a rational process, but even a novice critical thinker such as myself can trivially destroy your claims.</p>
<p>When you choose not to be cognizant and <strong>critical of your own bias</strong>, you disown reason itself, and make it impossible to discern the plausibility, likelihood, or truth about <strong>anything</strong> (except perhaps stumbling upon it as a complete accident).</p>
<p>When you cry &#8220;wake up&#8221;, what do you mean by it?  You do not accept what you are told, but instead you accept what you have invented.  To be &#8220;awake&#8221; as you are, is to be trapped in a fever dream of conspiracy and unreason, with no light to guide you; only the ever-deepening rabbit hole of your own delusion.</p>
<p>There is a much higher level of awareness than the one you defend and so cherish.  You already possess the tools to attain it: intelligence and doubt.  Turn these faculties upon yourself.  Doubt not only &#8220;authority&#8221;; learn the ways your own mind has evolved to be a poor reasoning machine.  Learn what logical fallacies and cognitive bias are.</p>
<p>The grand collective endeavor of science and reason tell us that the most simple, parsimonious, and mundane explanations are usually (but not always) correct.  This is not a dogma, but rather a good default position from which to begin.  The more complicated a claim is, the more skeptical you should be; the more work the claimant needs to do in order to show it&#8217;s valid.  As Carl Sagan said, &#8220;Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence&#8221;.  People untrained in science may not find it obvious why this should be the case&#8211;  If you have not had the benefit of truly understanding the methods of science, please find the time to read <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Demon-Haunted_World">The Demon-Haunted World</a>.</p>
<p>You can escape the wall of religion in which you have trapped your own mind.  From the inside, it&#8217;s an insidious, invisible wall that only tells you you&#8217;re right.  From the outside it&#8217;s an unassailable fortress of irrationality.  Learn how to be wrong.  Revel in your mistakes as you discover them.  Each time you find an error, you win the opportunity to correct it.</p>
<p>I subject myself to the same standard that I ask of you.  Also, the same criticisms.  We are all imperfect in our reason, in some ways irreparably so.  But we can be clever enough to design systems that give reliable results in spite of our bias (science), and modest enough to understand and work around our own limitations (awareness of fallacy and bias).  And as we continue down the road of reason, we find flaws in these systems and refine them as well.  Nothing is sacred, everything is subject to scrutiny.</p>
<p>I can argue against unsupported claims, and try to provide directions for understanding why they are likely wrong.  But there&#8217;s no way I know of to plant the seed of desire to reason.  If, like me, you managed to reach adulthood without learning these things, then I hope you too will choose to born again into reason, science, and skepticism.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Emit poetry</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/09/15/emit-poetry/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/09/15/emit-poetry/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 03:15:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=142</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/surrealmuse/4757004</p> <p style="text-align: center;">Science consensus</p> <p style="text-align: center;">Bucked by genius, and morons.</p> <p style="text-align: center;">The latter is common.</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_143" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/surrealmuse/4757004"><img class="size-full wp-image-143" title="http://www.flickr.com/photos/surrealmuse/4757004" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/4757004_69f7ec8fea_m1.jpg" alt="Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/surrealmuse/4757004" width="240" height="192" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/surrealmuse/4757004</p></div>
<p style="text-align: center;">Science consensus</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">Bucked by genius, and morons.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">The latter is common.</p>
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		<title>More debate fail</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/08/18/more-debate-fai/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/08/18/more-debate-fai/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2009 23:38:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fallacy and Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/59422307@N00/213496044</p> <p>I love everything about this Skeptoid post, in which Brian makes great points about the peril of debating when the truth is on your side.  It&#8217;s counter-intuitive on first consideration, but as I&#8217;ve mused previously, debating has relatively little to do with truth and mostly pivots on charisma and debate tactics <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/08/18/more-debate-fai/">More debate fail</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_125" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/59422307@N00/213496044"><img class="size-full wp-image-125" title="Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/59422307@N00/213496044" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/213496044_8fbd07855d_m.jpg" alt="Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/59422307@N00/213496044" width="240" height="180" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/59422307@N00/213496044</p></div>
<p>I love everything about this Skeptoid post, in which Brian makes great points about the <a href="http://skeptoid.com/episodes/4167">peril of debating when the truth is on your side</a>.  It&#8217;s counter-intuitive on first consideration, but as I&#8217;ve mused <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/argument-greater-than-debate/">previously</a>, debating has relatively little to do with truth and mostly pivots on charisma and debate tactics (many of which pragmatically employ fallacy and bias to torpedo the opposition).</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t agree with Brian that scientists must always be at a disadvantage.  After all, there&#8217;s nothing to stop someone from being right AND being a talented debater.  But it is folly to assume that the facts will be an asset, and naively blunder into a battle you will surely lose.  Further, you have to be careful about how you debate, because it&#8217;s easy for an opponent to leverage your use of &#8220;dishonest&#8221; debate tactics to cast a shadow on your credibility or factual claims.</p>
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		<title>A god detector</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/07/18/a-god-detector/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/07/18/a-god-detector/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jul 2009 03:02:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=92</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Density plots of hydrogen&#39;s electron</p> <p>Reading this analysis of yet another god of the gaps argument, I noted an intriguing passage:</p> <p>With quantum mechanical uncertainty and the chaotic unpredictability of complex systems, the world is now understood to have a certain freedom in its future development.  (&#8230;)  It is thus perfectly possible that God <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/07/18/a-god-detector/">A god detector</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_100" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 309px"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hydrogen_Density_Plots.png"><img class="size-full wp-image-100" title="Density plots of hydrogen's electron" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/Hydrogen_Density_Plots_s.png" alt="Density plots of hydrogen's electron" width="299" height="273" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Density plots of hydrogen&#39;s electron</p></div>
<p>Reading <a href="http://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2009/07/05/the-hall-of-shame-god-and-quantum-mechanics/">this analysis</a> of yet another <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/God_of_the_gaps">god of the gaps</a> argument, I noted an intriguing passage:</p>
<blockquote><p>With quantum mechanical uncertainty and the chaotic unpredictability of complex systems, the world is now understood to have a certain freedom in its future development.  (&#8230;)  It is thus perfectly possible that God might influence the creation in subtle ways that are unrecognizable to scientific observation. In this way, modern science opens the door to divine action without the need for law breaking miracles.</p></blockquote>
<p>As I understand it, the author of the BioLogos piece has hypothesized a specific mechanism by which a supernatural agent could intervene in the natural world, in a manner consistent with our best understanding of the laws of physics.  Specifically, the hypothesis is that a supernatural force can &#8220;override&#8221; the outcome of chosen quantum events.</p>
<p>The author states that such actions would be unrecognizable by science as divine intervention.  It is certainly the case that for a given single quantum event, once the wave function collapses into one of its possible states, there&#8217;s no way to scientifically determine a &#8220;reason&#8221; for why that particular state has resulted instead of another.  The author implies that the accumulation of one or more supernatural quantum interventions can ultimately result in a change of some macroscopic events[*1].  But, due to the vast sea of quantum interactions that underlie everything in the world, we could never hope to learn about the divine force by starting from these macroscopic outcomes.</p>
<p>This seemed at first to be just another gaps argument, where something unknown is assigned to divine agency, in other words a completely uninteresting (i.e. untestable, non-predictive, useless) hypothesis that can contribute nothing to our understanding of the world.  But then I realized that I was committing the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallacy_of_composition">composition fallacy</a>, as presumably was the author.  While it&#8217;s true that we cannot make a prediction about which state a particular quantum event will collapse into, we <em>can </em>make very strong statements about which states are valid ones, and about the <em>probability</em> that each state will result.</p>
<p>We can construct a particle emitter and measure a certain quantum characteristic of the particles as they hit a detector.  We can accurately predict what distribution the resulting states will follow, and we can say that the order in which the states come out should look truly random.  At face value this may seem irrelevant to the author&#8217;s hypothesis, but in fact it gives us the exact tools we need <strong>to build a god detector</strong>.</p>
<p>You see, to test the hypothesis that a god influences quantum events in such a way as to ultimately result in a changed world, all we must do is:</p>
<ol>
<li>Create a continuous stream of uniform quantum events that we can collapse and measure accurately.</li>
<li>Attract the attention and influence of a god to alter the events in a directed fashion.</li>
<li>Measure the accumulated distribution and randomness of the obtained states to see whether they have varied in a statistically significant way from expected values.</li>
</ol>
<p>Constructing the apparatus is obviously within our means, and should pose no problems as long as the machine is properly designed and controlled for systematic errors.  Indeed in the event of a positive outcome, ruling out an undiscovered bias in the equipment (or experimenters) would be prudent before releasing findings.  Apart from this, interpretation of results should be easy and unambiguous, and the experiment would be trivial to repeat as often as needed by different groups to verify the results.</p>
<p>Step 2 presents several issues, and these will be the biggest points of contention:</p>
<ul>
<li>What methods should be used to attract divine intervention, e.g. focused group prayer, sacred objects or symbols near the equipment, sanctification of the particle emitter, construction by devout/holy individuals?  While the experiment can obviously be repeated with different parameters in place, the number of permutations is effectively infinite.  A manageable number of procedures could be agreed upon by consulting religious experts.</li>
<li>Which deity or entity should be petitioned/invoked for the test?  It would be reasonable to rank the gods by highest patronage and proceed in order.  While it is not clear a priori that the number of people believing in a given god bears a relation to that god existing, this approach would most efficiently allow the greatest number of people to learn whether their god has interacted with the experiment.</li>
<li>Power, i.e. how can we know that our target supernatural entity possesses the ability to influence our specific choice of quantum superstate, and that the entity is at liberty to operate in the time and place that the experiment is run?  I submit that this is not a problem but rather a built-in efficiency.  Although it means the experiment cannot detect any supernatural being incapable of participating, the entities of most interest are surely the ones held to be be omniscient and omnipotent[*2], which by definition will not have any such limitations.</li>
<li>Hiding, i.e. how can we tell that a supernatural force would be willing to cooperate in such an experiment, rather than withholding its influence intentionally to frustrate the results?  Many candidate deities are held to be willing to communicate with at least those people who sincerely believe in them.  Therefore, as many believers as possible should be recruited to assist in contacting the god and requesting its intercession in the experiment.  It is imperative that this be done in good faith and with full disclosure to the believers, to minimize the chance that their god would perceive the experiment to be insulting, derisive, or insincere, and therefore abstain from participation.</li>
<li>Isolation and experimental integrity&#8211; the apparatus and indeed the experimenters themselves are confined to the temporal plane; in a very real sense the experiment is part of the medium it intends to study.  There is no guarantee that the divine agency will refrain from interceding in harmful external ways, such as arranging the procession of events in the universe such that the experiment never takes place.  For this we must rely upon the assumed earnest desire of the deity and the believers to establish contact, and the desire of the experimenters to properly test the phenomenon.</li>
</ul>
<p>If the hypothesis is correct then this or other similar experiments should show positive results given enough testing.  However, the experiment&#8217;s main weakness is that it cannot satisfactorily falsify the hypothesis on failure.  Repeated negative results cannot conclusively disprove the existence of a supernatural entity, or even disprove its ability to affect quantum states.  Several false negative situations could arise, among them:</p>
<ul>
<li>The entity may repeatedly abstain from interaction with the experiment, or may elect to alter the states in such a way as to retain the apparent distribution and randomness of the results (for example by exactly reversing each individual particle&#8217;s state outcome from what would have naturally occurred).</li>
<li>Several distinct supernatural agents may attempt to exert influence over the experiment at once but in mutually opposing ways, such that the overall signal is not distinguishable from negative results.</li>
</ul>
<p>If this experiment does not demonstrate a positive outcome, ideally a more rigorous test can be found that would be capable of falsification of the hypothesis.</p>
<p>&#8211;</p>
<p>Footnote *1: The alternative would be that the supernatural actor operates randomly, capriciously, or to such an insignificant extent that no notable changes ever occur in our observable, macroscopic world.  This would be tantamount to no intervention at all, and is therefore not an interesting case to pursue.</p>
<p>Footnote *2: Taken to mean the supernatural actor is aware of all possible quantum superstates in the universe and able to manipulate any or all of them in the hypothesized manner.</p>
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		<title>Argument &gt; Debate</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/argument-greater-than-debate/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/argument-greater-than-debate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2009 04:25:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fallacy and Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Introspecting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ranting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=50</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: flickr.com/photos/markfbennett/2223565383</p> Debating <p>Like most sports, I&#8217;m not much good at debate.  I say it&#8217;s a sport because it&#8217;s a competition with a winner and loser where the participants&#8217; skills have the largest bearing on the outcome.</p> <p>I think that most people casually lump debate and argument into the same mental bin; if <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/argument-greater-than-debate/">Argument > Debate</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_62" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><img class="size-full wp-image-62" title="Vah! False dichotomy!" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/2223565383_32438bed81_m.jpg" alt="Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/markfbennett/2223565383" width="240" height="161" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: flickr.com/photos/markfbennett/2223565383</p></div>
<h3>Debating</h3>
<p>Like most sports, I&#8217;m not much good at debate.  I say it&#8217;s a sport because it&#8217;s a competition with a winner and loser where the participants&#8217; skills have the largest bearing on the outcome.</p>
<p>I think that most people casually lump <em>debate </em>and <em>argument </em>into the same mental bin; if not as exact synonyms, then as different degrees of the same thing.  But they are really quite different!  A debate has almost nothing to do with <strong>logic </strong>or the <strong>correctness </strong>of stated facts, but these things are crucial to the outcome of an argument.</p>
<p><span id="more-50"></span></p>
<div style="clear:both"></div>
<div id="attachment_63" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><img class="size-full wp-image-63" title="(Robot only want friend)" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/2195033648_d5382c5ddf_m.jpg" alt="Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/donsolo/2195033648" width="240" height="128" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: flickr.com/photos/donsolo/2195033648</p></div>
<h3>Adversarial collaboration</h3>
<p>In an argument, the two sides start with differing opinions or understandings about a topic.  Well-conducted arguments can get very pedantic and take a long time to conclude.  Sometimes the facts needed to decide an argument aren&#8217;t available.  Although they can get heated with emotion, at the end of a good argument both sides should depart with the same understanding, reached by applying logic to the available facts.</p>
<p>Arguments are a great way to battle cognitive bias!  It&#8217;s a system of informal collaboration: each participant tries to find the logical or factual flaws that the opposing side is laboring under, and point them out.  Unlike a debate, this process has nothing to do with ego, wit, or the invocation of clever but misleading fallacies.  The goal of an argument is not to win, but rather to be (or become) <strong>correct</strong>.  This is a subtle but extremely important distinction.</p>
<p>As a skeptic, <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/07/06/willing-to-be-wrong/"><strong>I love to argue</strong></a>.  I love to be right and convince someone else of it, and I also love to be proven wrong and thereby learn.</p>
<div id="attachment_64" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><img class="size-full wp-image-64" title="Actually no, it's just a tap." src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/3086771128_983a76f2cc_m.jpg" alt="Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/theshadowknows/3086771128" width="240" height="169" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: flickr.com/photos/theshadowknows/3086771128</p></div>
<h3>It&#8217;s a trap! (sometimes)</h3>
<p>When you&#8217;re in an argument, you have to be vigilant for signs of &#8220;impedance mismatch&#8221;, i.e. an argument conducted in bad faith&#8211;  If only one side is interested in <em>arguing</em> but the other side moves into <em>debating</em> then the the progress and outcome of the discussion will be of undefined significance.  Just as if one person is figure skating and the opposing side suddenly switches to ice hockey.. nothing meaningful can be said about the results except it won&#8217;t end well.</p>
<p>If the debating party is clever, they can <em>very </em>easily prevail over the arguing party.  Attractive, unsupported claims can be made quickly so the debater stays on the offensive.  They can weave <a href="http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/skeptic/arguments.html#straw">straw men </a>and ask <a href="http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/skeptic/arguments.html#question">questions that don&#8217;t have snappy answers</a>.  If the opponent is able to keep up, the debater can arbitrarily <a href="http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/skeptic/arguments.html#goalposts">move the goalposts</a>.  The arguer quickly gets mired down, spending time to refute or reason through even a small portion of the claims.</p>
<p>Citing that your opponent is not being truthful and flagging their fallacies doesn&#8217;t win debates.  This is why those with logically inconsistent (or unsupportable) viewpoints <strong>love to debate</strong>, especially against scientists and critical thinkers.  It gives them the chance to win without being right!  By selecting an opponent who is beholden to logic and really wants to change the other&#8217;s mind, the debater is practically assured victory.  Even if the quarry detects the trap and switches to debate tactics, the attacker can force a stalemate by pointing out the logician&#8217;s hypocrisy for using fallacies!</p>
<div id="attachment_65" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><img class="size-full wp-image-65" title="Question" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/318947345_df0e7c28ce_m.jpg" alt="Image credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/oberazzi/318947345" width="240" height="145" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit: flickr.com/photos/oberazzi/318947345</p></div>
<h3>What to do</h3>
<p>If you are a critical thinker <em>and</em> you love to debate, then dive in, be ruthless, and take no prisoners!  Don&#8217;t go to the dark side, though; be ever vigilant in checking your cognitive bias.  Winning debates doesn&#8217;t make your position correct.</p>
<p>If you are like me, argumentative but more interested in truth than victory, then surround yourself with like-minded people.  If you find your positions challenged aggressively it can be an ego hit to defuse a debate instead of meeting it head on.  But it&#8217;s nothing like getting sucked into a trap when you&#8217;re unprepared; losing the debate despite being right.</p>
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		<title>Dishonesty in science: we still win</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/dishonesty-in-science-we-still-win/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/dishonesty-in-science-we-still-win/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Mar 2009 21:36:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ranting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=45</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit http://www.flickr.com/photos/go_kusano/2679175875</p> <p>As Orac states:</p> <p>Science as it is practiced today relies on a fair measure of trust. Part of the reason is that the culture of science values openness, hypothesis testing, and vigorous debate. The general assumption is that most scientists are honest and, although we all generally try to present our <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/03/15/dishonesty-in-science-we-still-win/">Dishonesty in science: we still win</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_59" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/2679175875_3e756c8fbc_m.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-59" title="Why no, I didn't nom the carrots!" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/2679175875_3e756c8fbc_m.jpg" alt="" width="240" height="180" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Image credit http://www.flickr.com/photos/go_kusano/2679175875</p></div>
<p>As <a href="http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/2009/03/the_most_massive_scientific_fraud_ever.php">Orac states</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Science as it is practiced today relies on a fair measure of trust. Part of the reason is that the culture of science values openness, hypothesis testing, and vigorous debate. The general assumption is that most scientists are honest and, although we all generally try to present our data in the most favorable light possible, we do not blatantly lie about it or make it up.</p></blockquote>
<p>Science is a massively collaborative endeavor, with each researcher relying on the existing mesh of literature as a starting point for their own contributions.  When everyone is being honest, a good methodology and peer review will prevent most obvious problems of bias and rigor.  In other words, the facts are pretty well understood, and everyone has a pretty good idea about how robust various theories are.</p>
<p>This is important, because it means when research is invalidated (or some theory is shown to be inferior to a new one), it tends to be an incremental change, not a destructive one.  Anything we learn will update, clarify, and add to our existing understanding.  Any new theories we employ will work at least as well as the old ones they unseat.  Relativity is more correct than Newton&#8217;s laws, but that doesn&#8217;t mean apples must be re-checked to verify that they do in fact fall toward the earth instead of levitating or falling toward the moon.</p>
<p>When a researcher repeatedly confabulates data in a <a href="http://www.anesthesiologynews.com/index.asp?ses=ogst&amp;section_id=3&amp;show=dept&amp;article_id=12634">case of massive fraud</a>, it knocks everyone for a loop.</p>
<p><span id="more-45"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>It&#8217;s hard to overstate how serious this revelation of scientific fraud is for the field of anesthesiology and medicine. Dr. Reuben was considered a pioneer in his field, and his work is not only widely cited, but serves as the basis for an amount of anesthesia practice that few academic anesthesiologists can lay claim to.</p></blockquote>
<p>Ripping out all his results will weaken everything that has been based upon them, even indirectly.  This is a rare case where we actually know <em>less</em> now than we (think we) did before, so everyone&#8217;s pissed off about it.</p>
<p>There is much wailing about how this fraud will be used as an illustration of the evil conspiracy of science and business.</p>
<blockquote><p>Every crank alt-med site and blog on the Internet is going to be harping on this incident as The Proof That Conventional Medicine Is Hopelessly Corrupt and their favorite woo is being kept down by The Big Bad Pharma Man.</p></blockquote>
<p>I agree that is likely to happen, but that argument is an obvious <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies#Faulty_generalizations">faulty generalization</a>.  All you have to do to break the spell is to point out a more important result:  When the scientific community discovers an error (be it an innocent mistake or a calculated fraud) we <strong>freely choose</strong> to reexamine and, if necessary, excise all the affected parts of the corpus.  Lies and <strong>mistakes happen</strong>, but when we find them <strong>we fix it</strong>, even if it&#8217;s unexpected, embarrassing, or painful.</p>
<p>This is why, even when individuals can epically FAIL, science will still WIN.</p>
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		<title>Closed-minded, all</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/01/01/closed-minded-all/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/01/01/closed-minded-all/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2009 00:54:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Introspecting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=32</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: garryknight from flickr</p> <p>We suck at thinking, all of us&#8211; humanity.  It&#8217;s poetically tragic given that we haven&#8217;t met any life forms who can do a better job of it yet.</p> <p>We skeptics enjoy thinking of ourselves as rational and reasonable, smugly superior among a vast sea of credulous, closed-minded believers.  But <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2009/01/01/closed-minded-all/">Closed-minded, all</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_34" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px"><a href="http://flickr.com/photos/garryknight/2571046473"><img class="size-full wp-image-34" title="Photo credit: http://flickr.com/photos/garryknight/2571046473" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/2571046473_e2fec59a67_m.jpg" alt="Photo credit: http://flickr.com/photos/garryknight/2571046473" width="240" height="160" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: garryknight from flickr</p></div>
<p>We suck at thinking, all of us&#8211; humanity.  It&#8217;s poetically tragic given that we haven&#8217;t met any life forms who can do a better job of it yet.</p>
<p>We skeptics enjoy thinking of ourselves as rational and reasonable, smugly superior among a vast sea of credulous, closed-minded believers.  But we&#8217;re not nearly as clever as we think, nor are we very different from the true believers.</p>
<p><span id="more-32"></span></p>
<h3>Our hardware</h3>
<p>Humans didn&#8217;t evolve to think rationally, but rather expediently.  Our myriad cognitive biases probably came about because they were useful shortcuts to solve the kinds of problems hominids faced pre-historically.  Some may be primitive processes that worked well enough to avoid being bred out over the millenia.  Other biases probably serve as heuristics that can let us quickly reach the right answers even though our brains are not very fast or accurate processors.  I&#8217;m not qualified to make claims about the origins of cognitive bias; however it happened, here we are in modern times saddled with a lot of built-in dumb.</p>
<h3>The work-around</h3>
<p>Putting aside bias in order to think rationally is a learned behavior.  We can jury-rig our minds into a feedback loop of self-analysis and doubt to avoid or detect as much of our own bias as possible.  In some ways it will always be a Sisyphean effort since we are running this &#8220;rationality&#8221; program on top of an inherently biased system anyway.</p>
<p>When it&#8217;s really important to be fair, we have to make the human mind cancel out of the equation.  Studies have to be designed with blinds so the participants and experimenters can&#8217;t inadvertently affect the results.  Even then, the hypothesis or experiment can have an undetected bias baked in via unstated assumptions.  Even a flawless study will be subject to a gauntlet of human peer reviewers and publishers.  Finally, if a study fails to turn up something interesting (i.e. a &#8220;negative&#8221; finding), it is far less likely to even see publication.</p>
<h3>Closed-minded</h3>
<p>A fully rational analysis would consist of evaluating <em>all</em> relevant data without bias.  How is a casual human thinker to know what information can be relied upon, or where to find it?  It&#8217;s clearly impossible to become an expert in every field, and even learned experts may disagree among themselves or be proven wrong in time.  To be able to function, we <em>must</em> routinely discard the majority of information available to us.  What we accept and internalize, by default, tends to align with our existing notions.  See <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias">confirmation bias</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expectation_bias">expectation bias</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selective_perception">selective perception</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mere_exposure_effect">mere exposure</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_Invented_Here">N.I.H.</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status_quo_bias">status quo bias</a>, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wishful_thinking">wishful thinking</a>.</p>
<p>Discarding possibly relevant information when deciding (or defending) a position is a pretty good definition of being closed-minded.  In the excellent <a href="http://skeptoid.com/episodes/4134">Skeptoid program (#134)</a> Brian Dunning points out that we tend to be automatically skeptical of some information based on our personal biases.  Conversely we are uncritical of information that resonates with our world view.</p>
<p>We are <em>all</em> skeptics.  We are <em>all</em> believers.</p>
<p>Believers, even atheists?  Scientists?  Absolutely.  I&#8217;m not propping up that old saw that science is some form of religion; it&#8217;s absolutely not.  What we all believe in is our current mental inventory of experience and information&#8211; we each believe that we are <em>right</em>, and that people who disagree with us are using flawed reasoning.</p>
<h3>The kernel of progress</h3>
<p>The preceding enlightenment was my main reward for listening to this week&#8217;s Skeptoid.  Brian also makes a related observation to pull focus back to rational thinking:</p>
<blockquote><p>The real difference between skeptics and believers is that skeptics have a useful foundation of scientific knowledge and an aptitude for following the scientific method. These tools allow us to distinguish poor quality evidence from good quality evidence. And, importantly, they help restrain us from drawing poorly supported conclusions from the evidence that we do accept, no matter how strongly we want those conclusions to be justified.</p></blockquote>
<h3>The scientific endeavor</h3>
<p>Science embodies the best approach we have to convert ideas and information into a robust understanding of the cosmos.  It&#8217;s a collective endeavor, because individual biases can be canceled out by getting a lot of different people to argue over the same stuff.  Properly applied, science will reward the mitigation of bias, and ruthlessly prefer theories that best explain the data.  Since it&#8217;s run by closed-minded, skeptical, credulous humans, science is not perfect.  But with each revision it gets a little better.</p>
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		<title>A critical baseline</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/24/a-critical-baseline/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/24/a-critical-baseline/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 04:28:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fallacy and Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=27</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p></p> <p>There are so many fallacies and biases that I can&#8217;t keep them straight, even though critical thinking is something I value highly.  I&#8217;m not much good at debate, and although I&#8217;d love nothing more than to engender critical thinking and skepticism in others, I don&#8217;t have any good ideas on how to do that, <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/24/a-critical-baseline/">A critical baseline</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://flickr.com/photos/syed/353798804"><img class="size-full wp-image-28 alignleft" title="Whatever you think think the opposite" src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/353798804_c888c23b51_m.jpg" alt="Photo credit: http://flickr.com/photos/syed/353798804" width="240" height="180" /></a></p>
<p>There are so many fallacies and biases that I can&#8217;t keep them straight, even though critical thinking is something I value highly.  I&#8217;m not much good at debate, and although I&#8217;d love nothing more than to engender critical thinking and skepticism in others, I don&#8217;t have any good ideas on how to do that, except maybe hitting them with a <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/22/what-would-it-take/">WWIT? </a>question.</p>
<p>But what about aspiring skeptics&#8211; people who already have the spark of reason but haven&#8217;t yet learned to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fnord">see the fnords</a> on their own?</p>
<p><span id="more-27"></span></p>
<p>You can&#8217;t just toss <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallacy">formal logic</a> at them and say &#8220;here, you&#8217;re good to go&#8221;.  There ought to be some kind of primer or baseline; some few principles to learn, understand, and then apply.  I read a thoughtful post entitled <a href="http://de-conversion.com/2008/09/17/obstacles-to-critical-thinking/">Obstacles to Critical Thinking</a>, and realized that the items discussed therein would be a great place to start.</p>
<ul>
<li style="text-align: left;">When I have an emotional stake in something, I am extremely likely to be affected by <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subjective_validation">selective validation</a>.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">Don’t give authority a free pass from skeptical scrutiny, especially when I like or tend to agree with the source.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">Just because something is normal, conventional, or popular doesn’t make it true or correct.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">My memory is not as accurate or complete as it seems, and neither is anyone else&#8217;s.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">My mind is heavily optimized to use and trust cognitive biases, so thinking critically will always be a challenge.  Don&#8217;t get cocky!</li>
</ul>
<p>In fact, running these checks on a regular basis is probably a good idea no matter what your level of skeptical skill.</p>
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		<title>What would it take?</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/22/what-would-it-take/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/22/what-would-it-take/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Oct 2008 13:47:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=26</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I saw this somewhere on the Internet a few days ago and have since forgotten the source.  But it&#8217;s so elegant that I want to spread the meme.  Plus, a post on Friendly Atheist reminded me again.</p> <p>&#8220;What would it take to convince you that you&#8217;re wrong?&#8221;</p> <p>That one sentence is all you need to <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/10/22/what-would-it-take/">What would it take?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I saw this somewhere on <a href="http://www.google.com">the Internet</a> a few days ago and have since forgotten the source.  But it&#8217;s so elegant that I want to spread the meme.  Plus, <a href="http://friendlyatheist.com/5238/one-line-arguments-against-religion">a post on Friendly Atheist</a> reminded me again.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;What would it take to convince you that you&#8217;re wrong?&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>That one sentence is all you need to figure out whether someone is capable of being reasonable about any particular subject.  In fact, making people admit to themselves that they&#8217;re <em>not</em> willing to entertain any possibility of being wrong, could be enough to break the spell.</p>
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		<title>Willing to be wrong</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/07/06/willing-to-be-wrong/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/07/06/willing-to-be-wrong/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Jul 2008 20:43:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/?p=25</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>From Skepchick:</p> <p>I love that most everyone here is willing to be wrong about everything.</p> <p>Through disagreements, we are able to see our views reflected back at us and change them if necessary. Or, even if they don’t change, we may gain insight into just why we hold a particular view.</p> <p>That&#8217;s how I try <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/07/06/willing-to-be-wrong/">Willing to be wrong</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From <a href="http://skepchick.org/blog/?p=1628">Skepchick</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>I love that most everyone here is willing to be wrong about everything.</p>
<p>Through disagreements, we are able to see our views reflected back at us and change them if necessary. Or, even if they don’t change, we may gain insight into just why we hold a particular view.</p></blockquote>
<p>That&#8217;s how I try to approach my whole life.  It&#8217;s just as rewarding to &#8220;lose&#8221; an argument as to be right in the first place.  Either way, it means I come out of the discussion feeling smart.</p>
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		<title>Turns out God doesn&#8217;t want dead animals</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/06/30/turns-out-god-doesnt-want-dead-animals/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/06/30/turns-out-god-doesnt-want-dead-animals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2008 05:26:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/?p=21</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Jesus died for our sins.  Lamb of God takes away the sins of the world.  As much as that was repeated to me growing up, and as innocently as I believed it, I never really comprehended how it could work.  Why should killing God produce any positive effect at all?  Wouldn&#8217;t that be rather a <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/06/30/turns-out-god-doesnt-want-dead-animals/">Turns out God doesn&#8217;t want dead animals</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-22" title="Photo credit: http://flickr.com/photos/ilumb/887591" src="http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/06/887591_836ed197bf_m.jpg" alt="Lambs" width="240" height="160" style="float:left" />Jesus died for our sins.  Lamb of God takes away the sins of the world.  As much as that was repeated to me growing up, and as innocently as I believed it, I never really comprehended how it could work.  Why should killing <em>God </em>produce <strong>any </strong>positive effect at all?  Wouldn&#8217;t that be rather a black mark?  Anyway why does someone dying impact someone else&#8217;s sin?</p>
<p><span id="more-21"></span></p>
<p>Today I <a href="http://www.daylightatheism.org/2008/06/forgiveness.html">learned the answer</a>, and it hit me like a <em>smite </em>of lightning.  Afterward, I wasn&#8217;t sure whether maybe I was the only Christian who didn&#8217;t get it, but I just checked with a couple friends and found out I&#8217;m in good company.</p>
<blockquote><p>In superstitious times, forgiveness was obtained through magical rituals. Most of these assumed that guilt could in some fashion be transferred to an animal or other being, which was then killed or driven off to provide a symbolic expiation.</p></blockquote>
<p>And then:</p>
<blockquote><p>Jesus&#8217; divine blood, shed once and for all, makes a more perfect sacrifice than an animal&#8217;s and does not need to be repeated. Still, at the heart of Christianity lies the same ancient superstition: that one person&#8217;s guilt can be transferred to another and then absolved by punishing that other.</p></blockquote>
<p>Eureka!  So it turns out the answer is, it&#8217;s <em>not supposed to make sense</em>, it&#8217;s just the way the magic works:  You can shunt sin between people and animals like &#8220;guilt capacitors&#8221;.</p>
<p>Now I understand the point of ritual animal and human sacrifice too.  All this time I thought that sacrifices worked because killing an animal or person takes the being away from us and sends it up to God (who apparently has an insatiable need for slaughtered slaves, virgins, or fauna, depending on your tradition).  But it&#8217;s really just this transference of punishment deal.  God <em>doesn&#8217;t</em> want all our dead stuff, he just wants <em>something</em> to take the rap for our evil deeds, regardless of actual deservedness.</p>
<p>Come to think of it, I see why teachers of Christianity might not want to focus too closely on the mechanics of sacrifice.  Although elucidating in a historical way, the bare explanation could have made me question my faith a lot sooner.</p>
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		<title>What Science is(n&#8217;t)</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/05/05/what-science-isnt/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/05/05/what-science-isnt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 00:10:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/?p=16</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Stolen from the blinkenlights box :</p> <p>Science is not&#8211;I repeat, not&#8211;a method for finding out the &#34;truth&#34; about anything. Without going into a great deal of detail, I would characterize science as a methodology that allows us to test our beliefs about how nature behaves with how nature actually behaves and to derive laws and <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/05/05/what-science-isnt/">What Science is(n&#8217;t)</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stolen from the <a title="Science is about knowledge not truth" href="http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/2008/05/science_leads_you_to_killing_people.php" title="Science is about knowledge not truth">blinkenlights box</a> :</p>
<blockquote><p>Science is not&#8211;I repeat, not&#8211;a method for finding out the &quot;truth&quot; about anything. Without going into a great deal of detail, I would characterize science as a methodology that allows us to test our beliefs about how nature behaves with how nature actually behaves and to derive laws and theories with useful predictive power that allow us to predict how nature will behave under certain conditions. In fact, it could well be argued that science is a method of testing hypotheses, refuting them, and through that process coming up with hypotheses that better explain how nature works.</p></blockquote>
<p>Word.</p>
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		<title>Purpose</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/22/purpose/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/22/purpose/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Mar 2008 14:45:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/2008/03/22/purpose/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p> Photo credit: Phil Moore </p> <p>Everyone writes their own story of life. A staggering number of people choose to create a story where meaning comes from an external governor, a deus ex machina. A common conclusion of these folk is that non-theists, lacking this (arbitrary) anchor, must be adrift in life without purpose, moral <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/22/purpose/">Purpose</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/03/3151423_6a4b75e6e1_m.jpg" alt="Photo credit http://flickr.com/photos/fil/" /><br />
<small>Photo credit: <a href="http://flickr.com/photos/fil/">Phil Moore</a><br />
</small></p>
<p>Everyone writes their own story of life.  A staggering number of people choose to create a story where meaning comes from an external governor, a deus ex machina.  A common conclusion of these folk is that non-theists, lacking this (arbitrary) anchor, must be adrift in life without purpose, moral values, or happiness.</p>
<p>But as <em>writerdd</em> quite eloquently observes, this need not be the case.  <a href="http://de-conversion.com/2008/03/21/creating-our-own-purpose-driven-life/">Acknowledge and celebrate your own meaning</a>.</p>
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		<title>No, really&#8211; why are we here</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/18/no-really-why-are-we-here/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/18/no-really-why-are-we-here/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Mar 2008 21:59:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/2008/03/18/no-really-why-are-we-here/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The title of my first post was meant to sound profound and then be answered in a strictly literal sense about why we are &#8220;here&#8221; as in &#8220;on this web site&#8221;. Having slighted you so soon in our readership relationship, I feel I should at least give the profound subject some attention.</p> <p>Fortunately, I like <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/18/no-really-why-are-we-here/">No, really&#8211; why are we here</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The title of my <a href="/2008/03/10/why-are-we-here/">first post</a> was meant to sound profound and then be answered in a strictly literal sense about why we are &#8220;here&#8221; as in &#8220;on this web site&#8221;.  Having slighted you so soon in our readership relationship, I feel I should at least give the profound subject some attention.</p>
<p>Fortunately, I like <a href="http://de-conversion.com/2008/03/18/the-meaning-of-life-2/">Richard&#8217;s post</a> on this subject, so I can just point at it and say &#8220;me too&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>Why are we here</title>
		<link>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/10/why-are-we-here/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/10/why-are-we-here/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 06:24:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BaS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fallacy and Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Introspecting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/2008/03/10/why-are-we-here/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p> (Photo credit: the gordons)</p> <p>I spent rather a long time contemplating the creation of this site. There seem to be many good reasons not to bother, including but not limited to:</p> What do I have to say that merits reading; hasn&#8217;t everything of value been expressed before, by my intellectual and literary superiors? Aren&#8217;t <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/2008/03/10/why-are-we-here/">Why are we here</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.BornAgainSkeptic.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/03/why-are-we-here.jpg" alt="Image credit http://www.flickr.com/photos/the_gordons/" /><br />
(Photo credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/the_gordons/">the gordons</a>)</p>
<p>I spent rather a long time contemplating the creation of this site.  There seem to be many good reasons not to bother, including but not limited to:</p>
<ul>
<li>What do I have to say that merits reading; hasn&#8217;t everything of value been expressed before, by my intellectual and literary superiors?</li>
<li>Aren&#8217;t I setting myself up for failure and facing an inevitable fate of blog-atrophy?  Untended sites bleach lonely in the sun, soon colonized and eventually overgrown by spam comments.  Abandoned pages linger in their decrepitude, the forlorn message of their prime lost to the entropy of an uncaring internet.</li>
<li>Won&#8217;t people read the above bullet-point and think &#8220;What a pretentious git, thinks he can write all fancy..&#8221; ?</li>
<li>What if my opinions anger people, and they burn down my internet?</li>
<li>For that matter, who are these alleged people?  Will anyone in fact <em>find</em> this site and stay long enough to care?  Why are <em>you</em> here, if you are at all?</li>
</ul>
<p>I&#8217;ll try not to be pretentious, and as for my writing I will consider it a victory if I can communicate without you dosing off or becoming irate too often.</p>
<p><span id="more-4"></span></p>
<p>I feel like a speck on the cosmic ocean, with a hat-tip to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Sagan">Sagan</a>.  I am filled with awe at the incomprehensibility of the cosmos, and the evident reality that our universe has evolved rudimentary internal sense organs (life) with which to discover itself.  But I&#8217;m not a cosmic hippie, by any means.  I doubt most of my posts will consist of &#8220;wow, check out this awesome space image&#8221;.  Though there <em>are </em>many awesome images, there are already quite a number of interpages on which to find them.</p>
<p>Neither will you find me selling <strong>truth </strong>here.  There are plenty of vendors for that already, so it&#8217;s a tough market to break into.  There&#8217;s not much quality control, though, and I have come to doubt there&#8217;s much quality in the first place.  Be skeptical of anyone who claims to possess truth (or a map of how to get there).</p>
<p>What I <em>will</em> do is talk about what I think, why (or whether) I believe it&#8217;s right, and, oftener than not, why I think other people are wrong.  That last one not <em>just </em>because it&#8217;s fun to be mean, but because with a little careful reasoning it is often easy to refute even a subtle <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallacy">fallacy </a>or <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias">cognitive bias</a>.  By contrast it&#8217;s a much harder task to show that something is <em>right</em>, or even likely to be right.  But there are tools we can use.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m talking about science, and more broadly, reasoned discourse and critical thinking.  I don&#8217;t claim to have a privileged frame of reference about these things; in fact I <em>strongly</em> request peer review and critique.  See, I&#8217;m a bit of an odd duck&#8211; I&#8217;m not afraid of being wrong, and I&#8217;ll usually want to continue an argument until all sides come to the same understanding.  Not to prove I&#8217;m right, but to find out if I am.</p>
<p>Of course if you&#8217;re paying attention you&#8217;ll see that I&#8217;ve already contradicted myself.  According to 3 paragraphs up I claimed there&#8217;s no such thing as being <strong>right</strong>, rather one can only:</p>
<ul>
<li>Be <em>logically </em>wrong due to invalid reasoning</li>
<li>Be <em>very probably </em>wrong due to contradictory evidence</li>
<li>Be <em>likely</em> wrong due to a stronger theory running circles around yours</li>
<li>Be not yet demonstrated as wrong by any of the above <img src='http://www.bornagainskeptic.net/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </li>
</ul>
<p>Yep, that&#8217;s the best we can do: &#8220;not known to be wrong at this time&#8221;.  So when I casually lob terms like <strong>right<em> </em></strong>or <strong>true</strong> about, that&#8217;s usually shorthand for &#8220;as far as is currently understood&#8221; either by me, by some community consensus, etc.  Is this unfortunate?  Does lacking truth put us at a disadvantage to others who seem to spout it incessantly?  I say no; in fact I believe we have the upper hand.</p>
<p>Truth, by definition, <em>must be correct, immutable</em>.  Sounds good, right?  But &#8220;correct&#8221; based on what?  If you populate your head with truths then you run into trouble when incompatible information comes along.  Your possible actions are basically:</p>
<ul>
<li>Accept both truths, and try to ignore the ever-growing friction of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance">cognitive dissonance</a> by believing that there is a smarter person (or being) for whom all these pieces fit harmoniously together.  This is the solution of a child, who builds understanding up in pieces over time and, for the most part, trusts that adults have got the harder stuff covered.  It also works for believers in the virtue of a higher power, such as a god, leader, or government.</li>
<li>Choose to accept one truth and reject the other, based on some personal or social criteria.  Keeping the first truth and rejecting someone else&#8217;s is the solution of a believer.  Adopting the new truth and forsaking the old one is the solution of a convert.</li>
</ul>
<p>That sounds a bit harsh perhaps, but this is the way almost everyone I know was brought up to think.  It seems strange, almost like some unethical psychology experiment in how limiting critical thinking skills  at an early age will affect society.  But, I digress.  To fill the vacuum of truth up with knowledge, we have figured out some clever frameworks to help us form and test theories, argue about them, account for our own bias, and collaborate on building a better understanding.</p>
<p>Science is an open-source approach to thinking.  Many people collaborate using the same rules to amplify their individual efforts and achieve far grander results.  Add together a lot of people and time, shake well, and now instead of dancing to make it rain we are <a href="http://www.badastronomy.com/bablog/2008/03/05/the-universe-is-1373-12-billion-years-old/">measuring the exact age of the universe</a>.  Each person need not understand every facet of scientific knowledge to derive benefit from it.  We can &#8220;believe&#8221; that (for practical purposes) it&#8217;s right.  But if desired, all the tools and information are out there&#8211; each structure of theories ready to be scrutinized, improved, or replaced with a more compelling alternative.</p>
<p>So fine, we don&#8217;t get <strong>truth</strong> per se, but we do get an ever-refined understanding of the cosmos.  And some other cool stuff falls out along the way such as modern medicine, and this intarnet.</p>
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